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Msg ID: 2749797 Air Methods Moody's +9/-0     
Author:BigT
11/18/2022 12:38:31 PM

New York, November 04, 2022 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") downgraded Air Methods Corporation's ("Air Methods") ratings, including the Corporate Family Rating (CFR) to Caa3 from B3 and the Probability of Default Rating (PDR) to Caa3-PD from B3-PD. Moody's also downgraded the company's first lien bank credit facility rating to Caa2 from B2, and the senior unsecured notes rating to Ca from Caa2. The outlook remains stable.

The ratings downgrade reflects Moody's view that the company's capital structure will become increasingly unsustainable. Moody's believes that Air Methods' high financial leverage along with Moody's expectation for continued negative free cash flow, partly due to rising interest rates, will not enable the company to successfully refinance its debt obligations that mature in approximately 18 months. The downgrade is also supported by weak year-to-date operating performance driven by the impact of the No Surprises Act on revenues, as well as persistent inflationary pressures such as rising fuel prices and upward wage pressures due to pilot and clinical labor shortages.

Air Methods' first significant debt maturity is in April 2024 when the company's $1.25 billion first lien term loan becomes due. Moody's believes that the company's weak operating performance and difficult refinancing conditions will challenge the company's ability to address its refinancing needs.

Social and governance risk considerations are material to the rating action. With respect to social risks, Air Methods is negatively impacted by both the implementation of the No Surprises Act and persistent labor shortages. With respect to governance, Air Methods faces operational headwinds stemming from inflationary cost pressures, resulting in weak operating performance, high financial leverage and the prospects of an unsustainable capital structure.



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Msg ID: 2749801 Air Methods Moody's +0/-0     
Author:Topjimmy
11/18/2022 1:47:58 PM

Reply to: 2749797



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Msg ID: 2749820 Air Methods Moody's +1/-4     
Author:Random Guy
11/18/2022 5:29:57 PM

Reply to: 2749797

So Moody's downgraded them from "Highly speculative" to "Default imminent with little prospect for recovery," yet their stock price is still over $40.  I guess the Moody's assessment didn't affect much. 

I don't understand the statement "The outlook remains stable," though.  The downgrade and rest of the article pretty much point to a bankruptcy reorganization in April 2024, yet "the outlook remains stable?"  Maybe they mean the outlook will remind investors of the smell of where horses were kept overnight?



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Msg ID: 2749826 Air Methods Moody's +1/-1     
Author:Huh?
11/18/2022 7:55:52 PM

Reply to: 2749820

Word salad, little speculative substance.



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Msg ID: 2749823 Air Methods Moody's +1/-1     
Author:ccr
11/18/2022 7:22:41 PM

Reply to: 2749797

"Some folks are born, silver spoon in hand, Lord don't they help themselves, Lord.

But when the tax man come to door, Lord the house lookin' like a rummage sale, yeah."

Even if this is true, it seems VERY convenient timing.

 



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Msg ID: 2749827 Air Methods Moody's +1/-1     
Author:Why
11/18/2022 7:57:28 PM

Reply to: 2749823

not just look it up?



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Msg ID: 2749825 Air Methods Moody's +2/-2     
Author:Pretty
11/18/2022 7:54:07 PM

Reply to: 2749797

much sums up a whole lot of investments in the millenial age both personal and busin ss.  Shouldah covered their down side potential realistically.  Tough times ahead, all around.



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Msg ID: 2749829 Sounds like PHI 2.0 +1/-2     
Author:Hope it isn't though
11/18/2022 8:02:02 PM

Reply to: 2749825
Same reason PHI went into chapter 11 a few years ago, bonds came due and couldn't refinance. I hope that doesn't also happen to AMC, although it seems like it's a ways off even IF it does happen.


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Msg ID: 2749830 Just be glad they hired you back, pal! (NT) +1/-2     
Author:Biting the hand that feeds you!
11/18/2022 8:03:09 PM

Reply to: 2749797


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Msg ID: 2749839 Air Methods Moody's +2/-1     
Author:Not Unusual
11/18/2022 10:34:17 PM

Reply to: 2749797

Much larger companies than Air Methods have suffered similar outcome's.

This  should be no surprise , especially with aviation which is a cash burn with slim margins in a high risk investment arena.  The Lending environment is Toxic at this time and with high interest rates and a weak forecast Borrowers and Lenders are more risk adverse. 

Wouldn't you be?



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Msg ID: 2749840 Air Methods Moody's +2/-2     
Author:when you say stuff like
11/18/2022 10:44:41 PM

Reply to: 2749839

high risk investment arena, it makes me immediately think you know what you're talking about.



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Msg ID: 2749850 Air Methods Moody's +0/-1     
Author:Why the loan?
11/19/2022 10:27:08 AM

Reply to: 2749797

Why did AMC borrow so much?



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Msg ID: 2749859 Air Methods Moody's +2/-1     
Author:Debt from Going Private
11/19/2022 1:07:30 PM

Reply to: 2749850

American Securities acquired of Air Methods for $2.5b using a significant amount of borrowed money to meet the $2.5b cost. The assets of the Air Methods that were acquired were used as collateral for the loans, so effectively Air Methods has debt from the purchase of the company from the previous share holders.



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Msg ID: 2749879 Air Methods Moody's +2/-1     
Author:Previous
11/19/2022 11:55:26 PM

Reply to: 2749859

management used the sheets to continuously leverage ongoing acquisitions at breakneck speed alleging the magic of synergies and profits to be reaped.  Oldest line of bull in the book, latest new application is/was crypto currency.  Smoke and mirrors with no value all to keep the 1% in control of the money supply.



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Msg ID: 2749917 Air Methods Moody's +2/-1     
Author:Here is what Aaron Todd said
11/20/2022 10:16:21 AM

Reply to: 2749879

A. Todd stated several times during earnings calls that he wanted to maintain debt at no less than 2 times cash flow, no more than 4 times cash flow.  He wanted to maintain a strong balance sheet so the company could take advantage of acquisition opportunitites.  Today, after private "equity" (a bogus term since it is nothing more than a rename of the leveaged buyout shops of the 80's and 90's which "buy" companies with debt), debt is 9 times cash flow (per the Moody's report).

Private "equity" purchased the company at a share price of $43.  At the time, the stock was trading at $28 (and headed down).  Thus, they paid a 50 percent premium for the company.  You have to pay a premium to attract shares from potential sellers, but 50 percent for a company headed the wrong way?  The previous year, the company's stock traded in the $50 range.  You might say private "equity" paid too much and loaded the company up with debt to do the deal.



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Msg ID: 2749941 Air Methods Moody's +1/-1     
Author:Yes
11/20/2022 12:59:51 PM

Reply to: 2749917

Smoke and mirrors in action.  Say one thing, do another.  Investors rarely keep up until things are waaaay out of control.  The company churned their sheets to boost the stock price and voila, all management keep being awarded options for stock price appreciation and exercising those appreciated and active ones.

Another form of Ponzi behavior everyone appreciates because they think some day they'll be a recipient.  

Really non-existent value and a setup for failure.  

Same thing happened to some banks after the repeal of Glass-Stegal from '98 onwards.

Oughta be a law against bad behavior.



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Msg ID: 2750126 What do you think Chapter 11 would look like +0/-1     
Author:for AMC?
11/22/2022 2:38:22 PM

Reply to: 2749917

Would the lender likely sell off whatever assets they could?  Or try to sell it complete?



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Msg ID: 2750133 What do you think Chapter 11 would look like +0/-1     
Author:probably like PHI
11/22/2022 3:31:49 PM

Reply to: 2750126

doesn't need to be sold. you're talking about liquidation. nobody wants to buy debt bro



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Msg ID: 2750158 What do you think Chapter 11 would look like +1/-1     
Author:Not
11/22/2022 7:40:41 PM

Reply to: 2750133

true.



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Msg ID: 2750222 What do you think Chapter 11 would look like +0/-2     
Author:which part not true bro
11/23/2022 1:22:02 PM

Reply to: 2750158

chapter 11 is reorganization, not liquidation or sale. but your intent was not to inform, either.



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Msg ID: 2755557 What do you think Chapter 11 would look like +0/-0     
Author:Real
12/4/2022 3:41:03 PM

Reply to: 2750222

intent diviner!



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